Спикер: Veronika Selezneva (Assistant Professor, CERGE-EI, Czech Republic)
Название: Heterogeneous Oil Supply Elasticities: Indebtedness and Production Responses to the COVID-19 Shock
"Empirical Corporate Finance, Financial Economics."
Какую проблему призвано решить ваше исследование?
"We explore the puzzling resilience of oil production to low oil prices. The main takeaway of our paper is that debt matters for oil supply adjustments to low oil prices. We contribute to the literature by providing the first large-scale evidence of production resilience due to indebtedness."
Что обнаружило ваше исследование?
"We argue that indebtedness mutes oil supply responses. Intuitively, the oil industry is heavily indebted in general, and when oil prices fall, many producers struggle to service their debt and maintain high production levels to maintain sufficient cash flow. The propagation of oil demand shocks depends crucially on the indebtedness of the oil sector. We discuss effectiveness of potential policies (such as production caps actually introduced in Canada)."
Абстракт: Debt matters for oil supply elasticities. We document the resiliency of oil production to the COVID-19-related collapse in demand due to indebtedness. We use exogenous variation in the timing of debt-related payments to identify financially constrained operators. We show that more-financially-constrained firms cut production by less than less-constrained firms and were less likely to complete wells. To explore the mechanisms, we use borrowing limit cuts and credit line drawdowns to measure access to credit, and exploit failed hedging practices to identify additional cash pressures. The propagation of oil demand shocks depends crucially on the indebtedness of the oil sector.
Более подробная информация, ссылка на работу и на предстоящий семинар здесь.